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Bus Tickets - France

France

France's Bus Tickets market is expected to generate a revenue of €303.90m in 2024.
The revenue is projected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.96%, resulting in an estimated market volume of €334.80m by 2029.
As for the number of users in this market, it is expected to reach 4.62m users by 2029.
User penetration is projected to increase from 6.6% in 2024 to 7.0% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to €70.54.
In terms of revenue distribution, 68% of the total revenue in the Bus Tickets market is projected to come from online sales by 2029.
It is worth noting that China is expected to generate the highest revenue in this market globally, with €4,610m in 2024.
France's bus market has seen a shift towards electric models, with companies like Bolloré and Alstom leading the way.

Key regions: United States, Europe, Malaysia, Germany, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Buses market in France is experiencing steady growth due to several factors. Customer preferences for public transportation, environmental concerns, and government initiatives are driving the demand for buses in the country. Additionally, local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors contribute to the development of the market. Customer preferences in France are shifting towards public transportation, particularly buses, due to their convenience and affordability. As urban areas become more congested, people are looking for alternative modes of transportation that can help them avoid traffic and save time. Buses offer a reliable and efficient solution, allowing commuters to reach their destinations without the hassle of driving and parking. Furthermore, buses are often more cost-effective than other modes of transportation, making them an attractive option for budget-conscious travelers. In addition to customer preferences, environmental concerns are also driving the growth of the Buses market in France. With increasing awareness about the impact of carbon emissions on climate change, there is a growing demand for greener transportation options. Buses are considered a more environmentally friendly mode of transportation compared to private cars, as they can accommodate a larger number of passengers and reduce the overall carbon footprint. This shift towards sustainable transportation is further supported by government initiatives and regulations aimed at reducing air pollution and promoting public transportation. Government initiatives play a crucial role in the development of the Buses market in France. The government has been actively investing in the expansion and modernization of public transportation infrastructure, including bus networks. This includes the introduction of new bus routes, the deployment of electric buses, and the improvement of bus stops and terminals. These initiatives not only improve the overall quality of public transportation but also create opportunities for bus manufacturers and suppliers. Local special circumstances in France also contribute to the growth of the Buses market. The country has a well-developed public transportation system, with a strong emphasis on buses in both urban and rural areas. This infrastructure provides a solid foundation for the expansion of the market. Additionally, France has a high population density, which increases the demand for efficient and reliable transportation options. Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as population growth and urbanization, also drive the growth of the Buses market in France. As the population continues to grow and more people migrate to urban areas, the demand for public transportation, including buses, increases. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, further fueling the growth of the market. Overall, the Buses market in France is experiencing steady growth due to customer preferences for public transportation, environmental concerns, government initiatives, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As the demand for efficient and sustainable transportation options continues to rise, the market is expected to expand further in the future.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.