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Bus Tickets - China

China

China is projected to generate the most revenue in the Bus Tickets market, with an estimated €4.61bn in 2024.
Furthermore, the revenue in this market is anticipated to experience an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.00%, resulting in a projected market volume of €5.61bn by 2029.
It is expected that the number of users in the Bus Tickets market will amount to 139.60m users by 2029, with a projected user penetration of 8.9% in 2024 and 9.8% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be €36.01.
Additionally, it is projected that 56% of the total revenue in the Bus Tickets market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
China's bus market is experiencing a shift towards electric and autonomous vehicles, driven by government initiatives and increasing urbanization.

Key regions: United States, Europe, Malaysia, Germany, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Buses market in China has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences: Chinese customers have shown a strong preference for buses that are fuel-efficient, environmentally friendly, and equipped with advanced technology. They are increasingly looking for buses that have low emissions and are powered by alternative fuels such as electricity or natural gas. Additionally, customers in China value buses that offer a comfortable and spacious interior, as well as modern features such as Wi-Fi connectivity and entertainment systems.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Buses market in China is the increasing adoption of electric buses. The Chinese government has been promoting the use of electric vehicles as part of its efforts to reduce pollution and combat climate change. As a result, many cities in China have implemented policies to encourage the adoption of electric buses, such as providing subsidies and building charging infrastructure. This has led to a surge in the production and sales of electric buses in the country. Another trend in the market is the growing demand for buses in rural areas. With the rapid urbanization in China, many people have migrated from rural areas to cities. However, there is still a significant population living in rural areas, and there is a need for reliable and affordable transportation options. As a result, there has been an increased focus on developing buses that are suitable for rural areas, such as mini-buses and shuttle buses.

Local special circumstances: China is the largest automotive market in the world, and the government has implemented various policies to support the development of the automotive industry, including the Buses market. These policies include tax incentives for the purchase of new vehicles, subsidies for the development of new energy vehicles, and regulations to promote the use of public transportation. Additionally, the Chinese government has set ambitious targets for the adoption of electric vehicles, which has further stimulated the growth of the electric bus market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The strong growth in the Buses market in China can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Firstly, the rapid urbanization in the country has led to an increase in the demand for public transportation, including buses. As more people move to cities, there is a greater need for efficient and reliable transportation options. Secondly, the Chinese government has been investing heavily in infrastructure development, including the construction of new roads and public transportation systems. This has created opportunities for bus manufacturers to expand their operations and increase their market share. Lastly, the Chinese economy has been growing at a steady pace, which has resulted in an increase in disposable income and consumer spending. This has led to a higher demand for buses, both for personal use and for public transportation. In conclusion, the Buses market in China is experiencing significant growth due to customer preferences for fuel-efficient and technologically advanced buses, the increasing adoption of electric buses, the growing demand for buses in rural areas, the government's support for the automotive industry, and the underlying macroeconomic factors such as urbanization, infrastructure development, and economic growth.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.