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Public Transportation - Portugal

Portugal

In Portugal, the Public Transportation market is expected to witness a significant surge in revenue from €1.21bn in 2024 to €1.32bn by 2029, representing a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.76% during the forecast period.
The projected growth is primarily attributed to the expected rise in the number of users to 7.49m users by 2029, along with an increase in user penetration from 70.5% in 2024 to 74.2% by 2029.
The forecasted Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) in the Public Transportation market is estimated to be €167.60.
Furthermore, it is projected that 27% of total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
Notably, in comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue, with €48bn in 2024.
In Portugal, the public transportation system is undergoing modernization efforts to improve efficiency and sustainability.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

Marché

Région

Comparaison de régions

Monnaie

Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Portugal has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors such as changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. Customer preferences in the Public Transportation market in Portugal have been shifting towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation. With growing concerns about climate change and environmental sustainability, there has been an increased demand for public transportation options that reduce carbon emissions and congestion on the roads. Customers are also looking for convenient and affordable transportation solutions that offer flexibility and ease of use. In line with these customer preferences, there are several trends shaping the Public Transportation market in Portugal. One notable trend is the adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles in public transportation fleets. This trend is driven by the need to reduce carbon emissions and improve air quality in urban areas. Electric buses and trams are becoming increasingly common, providing a cleaner and quieter mode of transportation for passengers. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology and digital solutions. Mobile ticketing, real-time information systems, and contactless payment options are becoming more prevalent, making it easier for passengers to access and use public transportation services. These technological advancements also enable transportation authorities to optimize routes and schedules, improving efficiency and reducing waiting times for passengers. Local special circumstances in Portugal have also contributed to the development of the Public Transportation market. The country has a well-established public transportation infrastructure, with extensive bus, tram, and metro networks in major cities. This infrastructure provides a solid foundation for further growth and expansion of public transportation services. Furthermore, Portugal is a popular tourist destination, attracting millions of visitors each year. The availability of reliable and efficient public transportation options is essential to cater to the needs of both residents and tourists. The government and transportation authorities in Portugal have recognized this and have been investing in the improvement and expansion of public transportation networks to meet the growing demand. Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as population growth, urbanization, and government initiatives, also play a significant role in the development of the Public Transportation market in Portugal. As the population continues to grow and more people move to urban areas, the demand for public transportation services increases. Government initiatives to promote sustainable transportation and reduce reliance on private vehicles further support the growth of the market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Portugal is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards sustainable and efficient modes of transportation, the adoption of technology, the country's well-established infrastructure, and government initiatives all contribute to the development and expansion of public transportation services in Portugal.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.