Market Insights Mobility Shared Mobility

Public Transportation - Indonesia

Indonesia

Indonesia is expected to witness a significant growth in the Public Transportation market as its revenue is projected to reach €1.68bn in 2024.
The annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) is anticipated to be 0.30%, leading to a market volume of €1.70bn by 2028.
The number of users in this market is expected to rise to 132.80m users by 2028, with a user penetration rate of 46.5% in 2024 and 46.1% by 2028.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be €12.88.
It is estimated that 20% of the total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2028.
Comparatively, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of €45,990m in 2024 among all countries worldwide.
Indonesia's public transportation sector is undergoing modernization with the introduction of new metro lines and bus rapid transit systems.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

Marché

Région

Comparaison de régions

Monnaie

Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Indonesia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors such as changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. Customer preferences in the Public Transportation market in Indonesia have shifted towards more convenient and sustainable modes of transportation. With increasing urbanization and congestion in major cities, customers are looking for alternatives to private vehicles. This has led to a growing demand for public transportation services, including buses, trains, and ride-sharing platforms. Customers are also increasingly concerned about the environmental impact of their transportation choices, leading to a greater emphasis on sustainable modes of transport. One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Indonesia is the adoption of technology. This includes the integration of mobile apps and online platforms for ticketing and payment, as well as the use of data analytics to optimize routes and improve operational efficiency. These technological advancements have made public transportation more accessible and user-friendly, attracting more customers and increasing overall ridership. Another trend in the market is the expansion of infrastructure. The Indonesian government has been investing heavily in the development of public transportation infrastructure, including the construction of new railway lines, bus rapid transit systems, and improved road networks. These infrastructure projects not only improve connectivity within and between cities but also create employment opportunities and stimulate economic growth. Local special circumstances also play a significant role in shaping the Public Transportation market in Indonesia. The country's archipelagic geography and diverse population present unique challenges in providing efficient and reliable transportation services. This has led to the development of innovative solutions, such as water-based transportation and community-based transport initiatives, to serve remote and underserved areas. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market in Indonesia. The country's strong economic growth, rising urbanization, and increasing middle-class population have created a larger customer base for public transportation services. Additionally, government initiatives to promote sustainable development and reduce traffic congestion have further fueled the demand for public transportation. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Indonesia is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, technological advancements, infrastructure development, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As the market continues to evolve, it is expected to further expand and diversify to meet the growing demand for convenient, sustainable, and reliable transportation services.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.