Commercial Real Estate - China

  • China
  • The Commercial Real Estate market market in China is forecasted to reach a value of €16.55tn in 2024.
  • It is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.20%, leading to a market volume of €17.57tn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, the United States is projected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate sector, amounting to €23,450.0bn in 2024.
  • China's commercial real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand for high-end office spaces in major cities.

Key regions: Europe, France, Japan, Brazil, Asia

 
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Analyst Opinion

China's Commercial Real Estate market has experienced significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors have all contributed to this positive trajectory. Customer preferences in the Commercial Real Estate market in China have shifted towards modern, high-quality buildings with advanced technology and amenities. With the rapid urbanization and rising middle class in the country, there is an increasing demand for commercial spaces that can accommodate the needs of multinational corporations, technology companies, and startups. Customers are looking for office spaces that are well-designed, energy-efficient, and equipped with state-of-the-art infrastructure to support their business operations. Additionally, there is a growing preference for mixed-use developments that combine office spaces with retail, dining, and entertainment options, creating vibrant and dynamic environments. Several trends have emerged in the Commercial Real Estate market in China. One notable trend is the development of large-scale commercial projects in tier 1 cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. These cities have become major business hubs, attracting both domestic and international companies. As a result, there is a high demand for office spaces in prime locations, leading to the construction of skyscrapers and mixed-use complexes. Another trend is the growth of coworking spaces, which provide flexible and cost-effective office solutions for startups and freelancers. These spaces offer shared amenities, networking opportunities, and a collaborative work environment, catering to the changing needs of the workforce. Local special circumstances in China have also influenced the Commercial Real Estate market. The government's policies and regulations play a crucial role in shaping the industry. In recent years, the government has implemented measures to control property speculation and prevent the formation of real estate bubbles. These policies have had a positive impact on the market by promoting stability and sustainable growth. Additionally, the Belt and Road Initiative has stimulated infrastructure development across the country, creating new opportunities for commercial real estate investment. The initiative aims to enhance connectivity and trade between China and other countries, leading to the construction of ports, logistics centers, and industrial parks. Underlying macroeconomic factors have contributed to the development of the Commercial Real Estate market in China. The country's strong economic growth, urbanization, and rising disposable incomes have fueled demand for commercial spaces. China's growing middle class and expanding consumer market have attracted domestic and international companies, driving the need for office spaces and retail outlets. Furthermore, the government's efforts to promote innovation and entrepreneurship have stimulated the growth of the technology sector, creating a demand for modern and flexible office spaces. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in China has experienced significant growth and development due to customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The demand for modern and high-quality commercial spaces, the emergence of large-scale projects and coworking spaces, government policies and initiatives, and the country's strong economic growth have all contributed to the positive trajectory of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Vue d’ensemble

  • Value
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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