Banking - Europe

  • Europe
  • In 2024, the projected Net Interest Income in the Banking market in Europe is estimated to reach €1.10tn.
  • Traditional Banks are expected to dominate this market segment with a projected market volume of €0.75tn in the same year.
  • Looking ahead, the Net Interest Income is anticipated to demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.24%, resulting in a market volume of €1.29tn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, it is noteworthy that China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, amounting to €4,017.0bn in 2024.
  • In the banking market in Europe, Switzerland continues to be a global leader in private banking services.

Key regions: United States, China, Japan, Brazil, United Kingdom

 
Marché
 
Région
 
Comparaison de régions
 
Monnaie
 

Analyst Opinion

Over the past decade, the Banking market in Europe has seen significant transformations and developments.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Europe are increasingly seeking digital banking solutions, leading to a rise in online and mobile banking services. This shift is driven by the convenience and accessibility offered by digital platforms, allowing customers to perform transactions and manage their finances anytime, anywhere.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Germany and the Netherlands, traditional brick-and-mortar banks are facing competition from digital challenger banks that are gaining popularity among tech-savvy consumers. These challenger banks often offer lower fees, higher interest rates, and innovative features that appeal to a younger demographic. As a result, traditional banks are investing in their digital capabilities to stay competitive in the market.

Local special circumstances:
In the United Kingdom, Brexit has had a significant impact on the Banking market. Many financial institutions have relocated their operations from London to other European cities, leading to changes in the competitive landscape. Additionally, regulatory changes post-Brexit have influenced how banks operate and serve customers in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The low interest rate environment in Europe has put pressure on banks' profitability. With the European Central Bank maintaining historically low interest rates, banks are exploring alternative revenue streams and cost-cutting measures to maintain their financial performance. Additionally, economic uncertainty and geopolitical events have influenced consumer confidence and investment decisions, impacting the overall banking sector in Europe.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Vue d’ensemble

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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