Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on AR software revenue, which includes revenues related to in-app purchases as well as revenues from the purchase of social media, gaming, and eCommerce apps.
Modeling approach / market size:
The market size is determined through a top-down approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, as well as third-party studies and reports to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as consumer spending, internet penetration, 4G coverage, and historical developments.
Forecasts:
We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are level of digitalization, adoption of technology, GDP per capita, and internet penetration.
Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).
