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Flights - Worldwide

Worldwide

The Flights market is expected to witness a significant surge in revenue, with projections indicating a staggering €0.57tn in 2024.
The market is poised to showcase an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.78%, resulting in a projected market volume of €0.72tn by 2029, worldwide.
It is expected that the number of users in this market will rise to 1.39bn users by 2029.
The projections indicate that user penetration will increase from 13.5% in 2024 to 17.3% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to remain stable at €0.55k.
Further, the online sales are expected to contribute 89% of the total revenue by 2029.
In terms of revenue generated, United States is expected to lead the global comparison with revenue projections of €132bn in 2024.
Despite the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on the global aviation industry, the United States is experiencing a surge in domestic flight bookings due to increased vaccination rates and relaxed travel restrictions.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors such as increasing customer preferences for air travel, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Customers worldwide are increasingly choosing air travel as their preferred mode of transportation due to its convenience, speed, and affordability. With the rise of low-cost carriers and competitive pricing, more people are able to afford air travel, leading to a higher demand for flights. Additionally, the availability of online booking platforms and mobile apps has made it easier for customers to search for and book flights, further contributing to the growth of the market.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Flights market worldwide is the increasing popularity of budget airlines. Low-cost carriers have revolutionized the industry by offering affordable fares and no-frills services, attracting a large customer base. This trend has led to increased competition among airlines, resulting in lower prices and more options for consumers. Another trend in the market is the growing demand for long-haul flights. As more people are traveling for leisure and business purposes, there is a need for airlines to provide longer flights to various destinations. This trend has led to the introduction of new routes and the expansion of airlines' networks, catering to the diverse travel needs of customers.

Local special circumstances: In different regions of the world, there are specific local circumstances that impact the Flights market. For example, in countries with a large population and limited land transportation infrastructure, air travel is often the most efficient and convenient mode of transportation. This has resulted in a high demand for flights in these countries, leading to the growth of the market. In tourist destinations, such as Spain and Thailand, the Flights market is heavily influenced by the influx of international tourists. These countries have seen a significant increase in the number of tourists in recent years, leading to a higher demand for flights to these destinations. Airlines have responded by increasing the frequency of flights and offering more routes to cater to the growing number of tourists.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Flights market s also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. A strong global economy and rising disposable incomes have led to an increase in leisure and business travel. As people have more money to spend on travel, they are more likely to choose air travel as their preferred mode of transportation. Additionally, the growth of the middle class in emerging markets has contributed to the increased demand for flights. As more people in countries like China, India, and Brazil enter the middle class, they have the financial means to travel and explore new destinations, driving the growth of the Flights market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.