Forecast adult-use cannabis sales Germany 2024-2026

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The new German government elected in 2021 is expected to introduce adult-use cannabis legalization, in some form, in Germany in the coming years. In a scenario of total legalization of recreational use occurring in 2024, sales are projected to exceed 168 million euros. By 2026, sales are expected to reach nearly one billion euros in value.

Forecast sales of adult-use cannabis in Germany from 2024 to 2026, by scenario (in 1,000 euros)

Characteristic	Scenario 1	Scenario 2	Scenario 3
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Release date

April 2022

More information

Region

Germany

Survey time period

2022

Supplementary notes

Scenario 1: Pilot trial similar in scope to Swiss pilot trial (400 people in city of Basel).
Scenario 2: Pilot trial similar in scope to Dutch pilot trial (10 municipalities).
Scenario 3: Full legalization with sales at licensed dispensaries.

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