The fast transition to heat pumps in the European Union could significantly reduce residential building emissions by 2030. In Germany, carbon dioxide emissions would reduce by 33 percent, compared to 2022 in the heat pump scenario, while nitrogen oxide emissions would drop 44 percent.
April 2023
France, Germany, Poland, Spain, EU
2022
CO₂ and NOx emission reductions from EU buildings by 2030 in the heat pump scenario, compared to 2022.
Heat pump scenario:
- Energy price projections based on REPowerEU forecast
- CO₂ price on heating fuels (ETS2) and power sector decarbonization by 2050
- Renovation rate increases from 1% to 3.5% by 2030
- Large uptake of heat pumps (in individual heating and district heating) in line with REPowerEU
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