Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Traditional TV & Home Video and OTT (over-the-top) Services. All monetary figures refer to consumer spending on digital goods or subscriptions in the respective segment. This spending factors in discounts, margins, and taxes.
Modeling approach / Segment size:
The segment size is determined through a bottom-up approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the segment size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as GDP, number of internet users, and internet consumption.
Forecasts:
We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant segment. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption.
Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.
